RP002A · CLOSED
When history helps prediction
In finite partially observed stochastic processes, when does recursively updated history recover predictive distinctions unavailable in current observation?
Autorite / Research Program
Begin with questions.
Follow the evidence.
An open research program on continuation, representation, reachability and realized history. The first Cycle investigates the testable boundaries of these questions.
DAM X report pilot and transition completed
D-0011 accepts a ten-unit archaeology pilot on the supplied secondary report. Original DAM/DAM X definitions and stronger survival judgments remain open. The transition selects preparation of a bounded lineage representation study; Cycle 02 entry and execution remain deferred. Cycle 01 stays ACTIVE; 12 / 13 obligations resolved (92.3%).
What changed, and what remains open
D-0010 records the move from planned controls to scoped audited evidence, and the next evidence needed for each open question. Existing results and the late checkpoint deviation stay preserved. Cycle 01 remains ACTIVE; 12 / 13 obligations resolved (92.3%).
Synthesis and foundation reviews completed
D-0009 compares four scoped outcome families and retains the existing contracts and formal capabilities. Negative evidence, unresolved questions and the late checkpoint deviation remain visible. No universal theory or baseline amendment follows. Cycle 01 stays ACTIVE; 12 / 13 obligations resolved (92.3%).
Checkpoint A and graph review completed
D-0008 accepts the actual late checkpoint and scoped forward/backward traceability review. The missed gate before RP004/RP005A is documented as a timing deviation, without backdated approval. The historical graph reconstructs 33 records, eighteen declared relations, forty-five typed references and four Result traces. Cycle 01 stays ACTIVE; 12 / 13 obligations resolved (92.3%).
RP005A reviewed and completed
24 planner rows, 12 paired comparisons and 35 structural sources independently replayed. Two positive, four zero and six negative outcomes remain preserved: V1 benefits at H=1/2, with no benefit at H=4; V2 and C0 lose coverage. Pure edge removal never expands structural reachability. D-0007 closes the finite RP005A commitment after internal package review. Q-2 stays ACTIVE; Cycle 01 stays ACTIVE. 12 / 13 obligations resolved (92.3%).
RP004 reviewed and completed
864 decoder rows and 60 pair/projection comparisons independently replayed. No wrong answers: 648 correct and 216 UNKNOWN across the four representations. R3 answers all 216 specified inquiries. R0–R2 have explicit same-projection information-loss witnesses. D-0006 closes the scoped RP004 commitment after internal package review. Q-0 and Q-4 remain ACTIVE; Cycle 01 remains ACTIVE; 12 / 13 obligations resolved (92.3%).
Remaining Cycle review
The twelve resolved obligations include the completed report-scoped DAM X pilot and the accepted transition. Only the close bundle remains open. Next assemble original evidence, deviations, reviews, transition and a canonical snapshot before the close decision. The pilot validates no legacy theory; Cycle 02 is not opened. The missed earlier checkpoint stays documented.
RP003 finite preservation audit
11,100 paths completed and independently replayed. Local tolerance can accumulate beyond the endpoint or prefix bound; exact-feature and variation-bound controls passed. D-0005 closes the scoped package after internal review. Q-0 remains ACTIVE. Read the package review.
Read the audited preservation reportQuestions before architecture.
Autorite keeps the scope of claims, their assumptions and the evidence that could change them visible. Negative results are part of the research record. The program makes no claim to a completed theory.
The audited baseline is frozen. RP002A completed its separately authorized second confirmation: 60 units and 120 learned fits, with seven conditional decisions under the frozen analysis. The first incomplete attempt remains preserved. RP002A is CLOSED after its scoped internal review; Cycle 01 remains ACTIVE. Read the package review.
Cycle 01 research
RP003 · CLOSED
From local to global preservation
When do local continuation and preservation judgments support a global judgment?
RP004 · CLOSED
Branching lineages
Which distinctions are required for continuation claims under copying, branching and merging?
RP005A · CLOSED
Constraints and viable futures
Can targeted restrictions steer horizon-limited decisions away from states with fewer viable future targets?
Recent changes
2026-10-12
DAM X report-scoped pilot and Cycle 01 transition completed
D-0011 accepts ten source-faithful units from the user-supplied secondary report; original DAM/DAM X definitions/evidence and stronger survival judgments remain open. No old architecture or scientific validation is inherited. Transition selects bounded lineage field-ablation preparation; Cycle 02 entry/execution deferred. Cycle ACTIVE: 12/13 (92.3%); close bundle remains open.
2026-10-12
Cycle 01 change and open-work records completed
D-0010 distinguishes planned controls from audited evidence and records each question’s remaining boundaries and discriminating next evidence. Cycle ACTIVE: 10/13 (76.9%). Only DAM X, transition/Cycle 2 decision and close bundle remain unresolved; no new execution, baseline amendment or final snapshot.
2026-10-12
Cycle 01 synthesis and foundation reviews completed
D-0009 accepts conditional synthesis and retains existing contracts and mathematics; no universal Claim, ontology or baseline amendment. Negative evidence and the late checkpoint deviation remain visible. Cycle ACTIVE: 8/13 (61.5%); five obligations open. Next: What Changed / What Remains Open. DAM X still awaits supplied sources or an explicit later disposition.
2026-10-11
Late Checkpoint A and graph review completed
D-0008 records methods/contracts, negative handling, site projections and forward/backward traceability. The missed pre-RP004/RP005A checkpoint is an explicit timing deviation, not backdated approval. The historical graph binds 33 records, 18 relations and 45 typed references; living inventory has 34 records. Only checkpoint/graph obligations resolve: 6/13 (46.2%), Cycle ACTIVE. Next: synthesis/foundation reviews; DAM X source dependency stays unresolved.
2026-10-11
RP005A reviewed and completed
D-0007 accepts the finite commitment after internal package review. All 24 planner rows, 12 paired comparisons and 35 structural sources remain preserved, including two positive, four zero and six negative outcomes. RP005A is CLOSED; Q-2 ACTIVE. Only its package obligation is newly resolved: Cycle 01 stays ACTIVE at 4/13 (30.8%). Next: Checkpoint A and graph review; DAM X still requires supplied sources.
2026-10-11
RP005A recorded audit completed
All 24 planner rows, 12 pairs and 35 structural sources independently replayed under the sixteen-input freeze. Two positive, four zero and six negative outcomes are preserved. R-RP005A001 is VALID within the finite scope; RP005A and Q-2 remain ACTIVE. No package disposition or Cycle resolution; 3/13 (23.1%). Next: scoped package review.
2026-10-11
RP005A recorded audit implemented and reviewed
The 24-row audit, 12 paired comparisons and 35 structural certificates have independent serialized replay. TST-RP005A001 is registered before execution; sixteen reviewed inputs are frozen. Fourteen additional software tests pass. No recorded attempt or Result; RP005A stays PLANNED and Q-2 ACTIVE. Cycle 01 stays 3/13 (23.1%). Next: one bounded recorded audit.
2026-10-11
RP005A constraints and planning protocol prepared
Four disclosed fixtures specify V0–V2 and a downstream deletion control. Fixed target denominators and separate planner/future budgets prevent misleading coverage gains. Twelve software controls pass; a recorded audit and independent replay remain next. RP005A stays PLANNED and Q-2 ACTIVE. No Test, Result or Cycle resolution; progress remains 3/13 (23.1%).
2026-10-11
RP004 package reviewed and completed
D-0006 accepts the finite branching-lineage commitment after explicit internal review. All decoder answers and collision witnesses are preserved. RP004 is CLOSED; Q-0 and Q-4 stay ACTIVE. Cycle 01 remains ACTIVE with 3/13 obligations resolved (23.1%). Next: RP005A protocol preparation; no new execution.
2026-10-11
RP004 finite representation audit completed
All 864 decoder rows and 60 pair/projection comparisons independently replayed. R0–R3 give 90/141/201/216 correct and 126/75/15/0 UNKNOWN answers; no wrong answers. R-RP004001 is VALID within the six-construction corpus. RP004 remains ACTIVE pending disposition; Cycle 01 stays 2/13 (15.4%).
2026-10-11
RP004 branching lineage protocol prepared
Six disclosed constructions, six query families and R0–R3 encodings are defined. Known-answer controls and three information-loss witnesses are calibrated; an independent recorded audit remains next. RP004 stays PLANNED, with no new Test, Result or Cycle resolution. Cycle 01 remains ACTIVE at 2/13 (15.4%).
2026-10-11
RP003 package reviewed and completed
D-0005 accepts the finite local-to-global preservation commitment after explicit internal review. All seven audited outcome families and original artifacts remain unchanged. RP003 is CLOSED; Q-0 stays ACTIVE. Cycle 01 remains ACTIVE with 2/13 obligations resolved (15.4%). Next: RP004 protocol preparation; no new execution.
2026-10-11
RP003 bounded preservation audit completed
All 11,100 paths independently replayed. Metric tolerance has local-to-endpoint and local-to-prefix counterexamples; exact-feature and variation-bound positive controls passed. R-RP003001 is VALID within the finite grid. RP003 stays ACTIVE pending disposition; Cycle 01 remains 1/13 resolved.
2026-10-11
RP003 operational protocol and controls prepared
Exact-feature and tolerance judgments now distinguish adjacent steps, endpoints, prefixes and accumulated variation. Four known-answer controls passed; a targeted prior-art review is published. RP003 remains PLANNED, with bounded enumeration next. No Result or new Cycle resolution.
2026-10-10
RP002A package reviewed and completed
D-0004 accepts the scoped finite commitment after an explicit internal review. All seven frozen outcomes remain unchanged, including the indeterminate recurrent comparison. RP002A is CLOSED; Cycle 01 stays ACTIVE with 1/13 obligations resolved. Q-3 and Q-4 remain ACTIVE. Next: RP003 protocol preparation; no new execution.
2026-10-10
Second confirmation completed and independently replayed
The freshly authorized technical retry completed all 60 units and 120 fits. Seven frozen conditional decisions: two benefit, four equivalent, one indeterminate. 484 hashes and saved-checkpoint/analysis replay passed; no trace warnings. First incomplete attempt remains preserved. No broad Claim or Cycle closure.
2026-10-10
First confirmation attempt interrupted; partial artifacts preserved
A wall-time/host-suspension clock incident stopped the one attempt. 36/60 complete units and 73 saved fit traces are preserved and audited. No aggregate decisions or VALID Result for that attempt. A separate retry was later freshly authorized. The timer guard is repaired.
2026-10-09
Confirmatory count and analysis frozen before outcomes
The calibrated eligible counts and fresh SD-only selection chose 20 replicates per world. Models, training budget, seven intervals, .01-nat margins and one four-hour attempt were fixed before confirmation.
2026-10-09
Fresh target-size variance stage completed
Five independent replicates per world and 30 learned fits completed and replayed. Only their SDs informed the frozen count rule; means remain descriptive.
2026-10-09
Fixed synthetic statistical calibration completed
All 90 fixed cells and 1.8 million trials completed. Counts 20,30,50 qualified under the declared simulation gate; simulated coverage does not guarantee actual-loss coverage.
2026-10-09
Uncertainty design and replicate-count sensitivity reviewed
An exact resampling-variance audit identifies an added within-episode term. Bootstrap tail resolution, assumed precision and runtime sensitivity are reproducible; no new samples, fits or final statistical design.
2026-10-09
Target-data-size feasibility pilot completed and audited
Three units and six fits completed in 5 minutes 48 seconds, with about 251 MiB lifetime peak process memory and no declared warning. All 50 outputs replay; n=1 per world supports no variance or confirmatory decision.
2026-10-09
Target-data-size pilot execution preparation verified
The separately gated six-fit pilot and no-variance artifact audit are implemented. Fifty-seven software tests pass; prior outputs replay. No new research training or pilot approval.
2026-10-09
Remaining budget warnings reviewed; target-size pilot proposed
A replayable validation-only diagnostic leaves all 12 prior warnings unresolved. A fresh six-fit feasibility pilot at the intended data sizes is proposed; no new observations or training.
2026-10-09
Longer-budget exploratory stage completed and audited
The separately approved 40 fits completed in about 6 minutes 24 seconds. All 322 outputs and saved predictions replay. Twelve near-cap warnings remain; no scientific Claims or Cycle resolutions.
2026-10-09
Stage-002 execution preparation verified
The longer-budget entry point and artifact audit are ready. Fifty software tests pass and previous outputs replay. The separate one-run approval gate remains closed; no new research training.
2026-10-09
Longer-budget convergence proposal prepared
A separate 300-epoch, 20-epoch-patience plan keeps models and data sizes fixed with 140 fresh seeds. Proposal checks pass; no new training or confirmatory evidence.
2026-10-09
Exploratory convergence stage completed and audited
All 20 independent units and 40 model fits completed in about 83 seconds. Artifact replay passed. Many validation traces improved near the epoch cap, so settled optimization is not established. No confirmatory decisions or Cycle resolutions.
2026-10-08
Separate convergence and replicate-variability stage prepared
A bounded exploratory plan and executable authorization gate are ready for review. Forty learned-model fits are proposed across 20 independent units; no new run has been executed.
2026-10-08
Literature overlap and confirmatory design reviewed
The finite-history benchmark overlap is documented. Deterministic design calculations show that the ideal window-eight gap is very small; five training replicates lack a power justification. No new model runs, scientific Claim promotions or Cycle resolutions.
2026-10-08
Baseline frozen; first engineering pilot completed
The audited bootstrap and bounded pilot were approved. Baseline v0.1 is tagged; the RP002A pilot completed with finite outputs and verified artifacts. No scientific claim or Cycle obligation was resolved.
2026-10-08
Executable RP002A harness and isolated pilot proposal
Generators, reference filtering, model causality, episode resets and seed schedules pass software checks. Thirty tests pass; no research pilot or confirmatory run has been executed.
2026-10-08
Validated research core and proposed experiment configuration
Typed research records and the 13-obligation Cycle manifest now validate before site generation. RP002A has a numerical configuration proposal; it remains unfrozen and no experiments have run.
2026-10-08
Canonical GitHub repository and RP002A design
The source repository is omasim/Autorite. Baseline source bytes are preserved and checked; a proposed operational protocol is available. No experiments have been run and release approval remains pending.
2026-10-08
RP002A prior-art investigation started
The first literature review and research-start workflow are documented. Experimental protocol choices and GitHub setup remain open; no experiments have been run.
2026-10-07
Both English sites are live
The knowledge site and open laboratory are publicly available at autorite.org and autorite.net, with verified HTTPS.
2026-10-07
Publish the process before running research
The knowledge and laboratory sites are being prepared before research execution. Both sites will be in English.
2026-10-07
Implementation contracts completed
Research records, Cycle obligations, closure and pre-execution readiness rules were specified.
2026-10-07
The updated baseline selected
The updated publishing architecture takes precedence. The older package remains historical source material.